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Title
Learning and the diffusion of regime contention in the Arab Spring
AuthorBamert, Justus ; Gilardi, Fabrizio ; Wasserfallen, Fabio
Published in
Research and Politics, Stanford, 2015, Vol. 2015, Issue Juli-September, page 1-9
PublishedSpringer, 2015
LanguageEnglish
Document typeJournal Article
Keywords (EN)Arab_Spring / democratization / diffusion
URNurn:nbn:at:at-ubs:3-884 Persistent Identifier (URN)
DOI10.1177/2053168015593306 
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 The work is publicly available
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Abstract (English)

The Arab Spring has become a prominent example of the spread of cross-national regime contention. It is widely

accepted that successful regime contention (in Tunisia and Egypt) triggered protests in other countries. Both scholars

and other observers have suggested that protesters learned from successful regime contention. Thus far, available

evidence has been either anecdotal or qualitative. This article provides a quantitative analysis of the diffusion of regime

contention in 20 countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region between December 2010 and April 2011.

Results show that protests that led to a regime change were much more likely to be imitated elsewhere, but especially

in the first couple of weeks and without taking the specificity of the context into account. Our analysis thus suggests that

regime contention diffused through bounded learning during the Arab Spring.